Thought Provoking

A quote from "The Undoing Project," Michael Lewis' latest book:

Notes made by Amos Tversky:

People predict by making up stories

People predict very little and explain everything

People live under uncertainty whether they like it or not

People believe they can tell the future if they work hard enough

People accept any explanation as long as it fits the facts

The handwriting was on the wall, it was just the ink that was invisible

People often work hard to obtain information they already have

And avoid new knowledge

Man is a deterministic device thrown into a probabilistic

Universe

In this match, surprises are expected

Everything that has already happened must have been inevitable